Today (Wednesday)
Quiet weather continues today, with highs in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees.
Tomorrow (Thursday)
Mostly sunny Thursday during the day with rain chances increasing during the evening hours.
Main threat is heavy rainfall Thursday evening into the overnight hours (NWS is currently forecasting after midnight Thursday night).
1"-3” of rainfall with isolated higher amounts will be possible.
Friday
Friday afternoon into the evening hours 1-3” of rain with isolated higher amounts will be possible.
There is a slight chance of severe weather during this timeframe.
Exact timing and location remain uncertain at this time, but generally looking at afternoon to evening hours for most likely time.
The NWS is currently forecasting 2-3” of rainfall for our area Thursday and Friday with locally higher amounts possible.
Weekend (Saturday and Sunday)
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, mainly before 1PM.
Most of the rains should exit by Saturday, leaving us with a mainly dry weekend with highs in the upper 80s to 90 degrees.
Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi partners -
Here is an update concerning the heavy rainfall and severe weather threats later this week.
Changes:
- Moderate risk of flash flooding extended into southwest MS on Thursday.
- now have Slight risk for severe weather Friday
Overview:
WHAT: Marginal to MODERATE risk of Heavy Rainfall
Slight risk of Severe Weather
WHEN: For Heavy rainfall....Thursday night and again Friday afternoon/overnight
For Severe weather...Friday afternoon/evening
WHERE: Northwest of a Baton Rouge to Bogalusa line on Thursday night
Areas north of I-10/12 for severe weather on Friday afternoon/overnight
CONFIDENCE:
· We are confident that there will be thunderstorms across the area and that a few will be strong to severe. We have less confidence in exactly where those strong/severe storms will occur.
· We are confident that there will be thunderstorms across the area and that a few will produce heavy rainfall. We are less confident in exactly where the greatest threat will be.
Impacts:
The main threats associated with any strong/severe storms will be:
Damaging Winds:
· Wind gusts greater than 60 mph will be possible
· Trees and powerlines could be damaged and lead to isolated/scattered power outages
Large Hail:
· Large hail over 1 inch in diameter will be possible
Tornadoes:
· A few tornadoes will be possible
Rainfall:
· On Thursday, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is forecast with locally higher amounts possible.
· On Friday, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is forecast with locally higher amounts possible.
· This rainfall could lead to ponding of water in low lying areas and areas of poor drainage.
The attached graphics below highlight the threats associated with this system.
Thursday:
Friday:
